Showing posts with label Cyclic. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Cyclic. Show all posts

Thursday, September 24, 2015

Cyclic Analysis: A Dynamic Approach to Technical Analysis




J. M. Hurst, "Cyclic Analysis: A Dynamic Approach to Technical Analysis"


1999 | ISBN-10: 0934380562 | 48 pages | PDF | 4 MB




The advent of accurate and continuous equity price histories made possible the study of equity price movement as a function of time, independent of all other variables.




Early studies of such data produced the conclusion that equity prices vary in a random, hence unpredictable, way.




This conclusion has been replaced in the last decade as evidence mounts that equity price variation is ordered and quasi-predictable.




The relationship between past and future prices is found to be complex and nonlinear. Current simplified models represent price movement as consisting of a linear combination of wave functions with specific and consistent interrelationships. This viewpoint has led to the development of the Wave Theory of Price Action.




From this Wave Theory, a body of practical application methods called Cyclic Analysis has been evolved which permits a fully integrated and wholly technical approach to the problem of trading and investing successfully in the stock and commodity markets.




This approach features the following unique capabilities: prediction of price-reversal timing, prediction of the price at an anticipated reversal, estimation of the extent of the price move expected to follow a reversal, and evaluation of a transaction before entry in terms of risk and profit potential.




Cyclic Analysis methodology has been field tested since 1971, and computerized analysis aids are available.